At risk / Cartographer and Photogrammetrist
SOC 17-1021.00

Cartographer and Photogrammetrist

VerdictHigher Risk
Signal 01 · structural exposure
78
/ 100

Structural exposure score derived from 2 independent sources (OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" (human_rating_beta) + AIOE (Felten, Raj & Seamans)), each normalized against its own full reference population and combined by simple average, then converted to a percentile.

Signal 02 · real-world AI usage
Not yet available

We have not ingested real-world usage data for this occupation yet. We show a band only where genuine data exists, rather than estimate one.

What this is not
Neither reading measures whether any single cartographer and photogrammetrist has lost work to AI. That data does not exist anywhere yet — both signals describe tasks, not headcount. This page is not a prediction that this job disappears.
How we calculated this →

What a cartographer and photogrammetrist actually does

Cartographers and photogrammetrists turn raw aerial photographs, satellite imagery, drone captures, and ground survey data into the maps, GIS layers, and geospatial databases that governments, utilities, and private developers rely on for zoning maps, parcel records, infrastructure planning, and disaster response.

A typical project starts with sourcing imagery or point-cloud data, then processing it through photogrammetric software to correct lens distortion, establish accurate scale and elevation, and stitch overlapping frames into a single orthorectified image tied to a real-world coordinate system.

From there, a cartographer digitizes and classifies real-world features — roads, buildings, water bodies, parcel lines, contours — into a structured GIS database, checks the output against ground-truth data, and produces or revises finished map products: topographic maps, property and parcel maps, utility maps, or interactive web maps. Photogrammetrists specialize more narrowly in the imagery-to-measurement pipeline, extracting precise elevation and distance data from stereo imagery, while cartographers focus more on the finished map's design, symbolization, and accuracy.

Most work in offices for mapping and engineering firms or federal, state, and local government agencies — the U. S. Geological Survey and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency are among the largest employers — with occasional field trips to confirm a map matches what's actually on the ground.

The finished product has shifted over the past decade from static, printed map sheets toward continuously-updated web GIS layers that utilities, insurers, and planning departments query directly rather than order a fresh paper map for.

A county assessor's office might pull a cartographer's parcel layer for a tax revaluation, a power company might use the same base data to plan a new line route, and an insurer might overlay it with flood-zone modeling, all from one underlying dataset the cartographer keeps current rather than redrawing from scratch each time.

That shift toward maintaining a living, queryable database rather than producing one-off printed maps is itself part of why the occupation's structural exposure reads high, database-maintenance and feature-classification work is more standardized and repeatable than one-off cartographic design used to be.

Why it reads this way

Cartographer and Photogrammetrist scores 22/100 on this site's structural exposure measure, and unlike several other roles reviewed in this industry, the deeper research doesn't rescue that reading. The occupation's core task — converting raw aerial, satellite, or drone imagery into finished maps and structured GIS data — is exactly the kind of image-to-structured-data conversion that deep learning has gotten good at fast.

Esri, the dominant GIS software vendor, now markets AI-assisted feature extraction directly inside ArcGIS Pro, letting an analyst extract building footprints, roads, and land-cover boundaries from satellite or drone imagery in minutes rather than hand-digitizing them.

Microsoft has published its own deep-learning pipeline for extracting building footprints from satellite imagery at country scale, and a growing body of 2025-2026 academic research on convolutional and transformer-based models for building and parcel extraction confirms this is an active, maturing capability rather than a lab curiosity.

The exposure isn't evenly spread across the occupation's two halves, though this site's methodology scores it as one combined O*NET code. The tools above automate the photogrammetrist side most directly, extracting measurements and features from imagery, work that's inherently a structured, repeatable image-to-data conversion.

A cartographer's finished-map judgment, choosing what to symbolize, generalize, or emphasize for a specific audience and use case, sits a step further from what these tools do well today, though that distinction narrows every year as feature-extraction output requires less manual cleanup before it's map-ready.

Licensing offers essentially no protection nationally. O*NET and BLS list no state license requirement for the occupation as a whole, and while Virginia, Oregon, and North Carolina do license a narrow 'surveyor photogrammetrist' credential, it applies specifically to using photogrammetric methods to determine legal boundaries and topography — work that already falls under land surveying's own licensing regime — not to the general cartographic and GIS map-production work most of this occupation's roughly 14,700 workers actually do day to day.

There's also no equivalent to a surveyor's signed, sealed plat: a finished map or GIS layer doesn't require any individual's personal legal sign-off before use.

The work is also mostly desk-based rather than hands-on: BLS describes the job as spending 'much of their time in an office setting,' with fieldwork limited to occasional validation trips, so there's little of the physical-dexterity protection that shields a land surveyor's actual measurement work.

Two genuine, disclosed counter-signals keep this from reading as an unqualified decline.

BLS projects 7% employment growth through 2035 (a 'Bright Outlook' occupation) on rising demand for the underlying geospatial data, as drone mapping, disaster response, autonomous-vehicle mapping, and climate monitoring all consume more raw imagery every year, and one Amsterdam-based digital-mapping company's mid-2025 workforce cuts — though concentrated in its apps and sales divisions rather than core cartography — show at least one major mapping employer explicitly reallocating headcount toward AI rather than away from it entirely.

A 2025 academic review of generative AI in map-making also found current AI tools still fall short of professional cartographic quality working alone, real evidence against a fully hollowed-out occupation today, though not evidence of a legal or physical wall protecting it going forward.

Skills this role draws on

Photogrammetric Image ProcessingGIS Data Compilation and ClassificationAerial and Satellite Imagery InterpretationCartographic Design and Map ProductionGIS and CAD Software (ArcGIS, AutoCAD)Field Verification and Ground-TruthingSpatial Database Management
Pay & demand
$53,740–$126,950
10th–90th percentile, USD/year
Average: $81,390/yr
Demand
Medium
Growth outlook
Strong
Projected growth
7% (2025-2035), much faster than the average for all occupations — a BLS 'Bright Outlook' occupation with about 900 annual openings projected (BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook)

Range source: BLS OEWS wage data via O*NET OnLine (2025 release), SOC 17-1021.00 'Cartographers and Photogrammetrists'
Average source: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics for Cartographers and Photogrammetrists (17-1021.00) via O*NET OnLine, 2025 wage data (Annual Mean/Median Wage)

Research verdict
Assessed as of 2026-09-07
At risk

Cartographer and Photogrammetrist scores 22/100, a low structural reading, and the research doesn't rescue it: the occupation carries no nationwide licensing wall (a narrow 'surveyor photogrammetrist' license in Virginia, Oregon, and North Carolina covers only the land-boundary-determination slice of the work, not the general cartographic/GIS map production most of the roughly 14,700 workers in this occupation do), and the work is mostly desk-based rather than physically hands-on. Real, current, named deployment backs the numeric score: Esri markets AI-assisted feature extraction directly inside ArcGIS Pro, Microsoft has published a deep-learning pipeline for country-scale building-footprint extraction from satellite imagery, and a mid-2025 workforce reduction at a major digital-mapping company (TomTom, 300 roles) was explicitly tied to an AI pivot, though concentrated outside the core cartography function. Confidence is set to Medium rather than High because of two genuine, disclosed counter-signals: BLS projects 7% employment growth through 2035 (a 'Bright Outlook' occupation) that doesn't yet reflect AI-driven changes, and a 2025 academic review found current generative-AI mapping tools still fall short of professional cartographic quality on their own, as of 2026-09-07.

Last updated: August 2026Source: BLS OEWS wage data via O*NET OnLine (2025 release), SOC 17-1021.00 'Cartographers and Photogrammetrists'

Data sources & methodology

Salary data: BLS OEWS wage data via O*NET OnLine (2025 release), SOC 17-1021.00 'Cartographers and Photogrammetrists'. Average figure sourced separately: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics for Cartographers and Photogrammetrists (17-1021.00) via O*NET OnLine, 2025 wage data (Annual Mean/Median Wage).

Task descriptions: Based on O*NET occupational analysis (17-1021.00).

Real-world AI usage band: Microsoft's "Working with AI" study of Bing Copilot conversations mapped to O*NET tasks (arXiv 2507.07935), and corroborating data from the Anthropic Economic Index.

Growth projections: 7% (2025-2035), much faster than the average for all occupations — a BLS 'Bright Outlook' occupation with about 900 annual openings projected (BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook), based on BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

Learn more about our methodology