At risk / Tax Preparer
SOC 13-2082.00

Tax Preparer

VerdictHigher Risk
Signal 01 · structural exposure
92
/ 100

Tax Preparer scores just 8/100 on this site's structural exposure measure, one of the lowest readings on this site, reflecting how closely tax-return preparation, applying defined rules to a client's financial data to calculate a result, resembles the structured, rules-based work AI systems handle well.

Signal 02 · real-world AI usage
Not yet available

We have not ingested real-world usage data for this occupation yet. We show a band only where genuine data exists, rather than estimate one.

What this is not
Neither reading measures whether any single tax preparer has lost work to AI. That data does not exist anywhere yet — both signals describe tasks, not headcount. This page is not a prediction that this job disappears.
How we calculated this →

What a tax preparer actually does

Tax preparers prepare tax returns for individuals or small businesses, a distinct occupation from Accountants and Auditors, focused specifically on tax-return preparation rather than broader financial-statement work, auditing, or advisory services. The work centers on collecting a client's income, deduction, and credit information, applying current tax law to calculate what's owed or refunded, and filing the return, often during a compressed seasonal window around the annual filing deadline.

Most tax preparers work for tax-preparation firms, accounting practices, or as independent practitioners, and the role sits below Accountant/CPA in formal credentialing, most tax preparers hold neither a CPA license nor an Enrolled Agent (EA) designation, though both exist as advanced credentials some preparers pursue. The IRS requires anyone preparing returns for compensation to hold a Preparer Tax Identification Number (PTIN), but a PTIN is only a registration number, not a credential requiring an exam, coursework, or background check.

Why it reads this way

Tax Preparer scores just 8/100 on this site's structural exposure measure, one of the lowest readings on this site, reflecting how closely tax-return preparation, applying defined rules to a client's financial data to calculate a result, resembles the structured, rules-based work AI systems handle well.

The occupation's nominal licensing wall doesn't hold up to scrutiny: the IRS PTIN requirement is only a registration number, with no exam, education requirement, or background check attached, and only 4 states (California, Oregon, Maryland, and New York) impose any additional registration on non-CPA/EA/attorney preparers, with only Oregon requiring a real practice exam among them, the rest amounting to registration and a fee.

This covers a minority of the national tax-preparer workforce, the same industrial-exemption pattern this site has already found in Accountant and Auditor, where the comparable CPA credential covers under half the broader occupation.

Real, current, long-standing evidence confirms concrete task displacement rather than speculation: DIY tax software (TurboTax, H&R Block Online, IRS Free File) has automated the simplest tax returns for over a decade, a real, at-scale deployment that has already absorbed a meaningful share of what used to be paid tax-preparer work.

Newer AI-branded features (Intuit Assist, H&R Block AI Tax Assist) layer a conversational assistant on top of these existing rules engines, extending the same automation trend to a broader range of returns.

BLS reports a notably strong 5-6% growth projection for this occupation (2024-2034, Bright Outlook designation), a real divergence from Budget Analyst's and Credit Analyst's weaker growth figures worth explaining rather than treating as a contradiction: this figure reflects aggregate seasonal hiring demand and the occupation's high turnover and part-time/seasonal structure, not evidence that the core return-preparation task itself resists the automation trend already well underway in the simplest-return segment of this work.

Skills this role draws on

Tax Return PreparationTax Law & Regulation ApplicationClient Financial Data CollectionTax Preparation SoftwareDeduction & Credit Optimization
Pay & demand
$33,760–$99,270
10th–90th percentile, USD/year
Average: $54,920/yr
Demand
Medium
Growth outlook
Uncertain
Projected growth
+5-6% (2024-2034, Bright Outlook designation), a figure this site explains rather than treats as contradicting the verdict: it reflects aggregate seasonal hiring demand and this occupation's high turnover/part-time structure, not evidence that core return-preparation work resists the decade-long DIY/AI automation trend already underway (BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook)

Range source: O*NET OnLine, 2025 wage data via BLS OEWS, SOC 13-2082.00 'Tax Preparers'
Average source: O*NET OnLine 2025 wage data (Annual Median Wage) for Tax Preparers (13-2082.00)

Research verdict
Assessed as of 2026-08-19
At risk

Tax Preparer scores just 8/100, one of the lowest readings on this site. The nominal licensing wall doesn't hold up: IRS PTIN is registration only, no exam or coursework, and only 4 states impose any additional registration on non-CPA/EA preparers, covering a minority of the workforce, the same industrial-exemption pattern found in Accountant and Auditor. Real, long-standing, at-scale evidence confirms concrete displacement: DIY tax software has automated the simplest returns for over a decade, with newer AI-branded features (Intuit Assist, H&R Block AI Tax Assist) extending the same trend. BLS's strong 5-6% growth (Bright Outlook) is explained honestly as reflecting seasonal hiring demand and high turnover, not core-task automation resistance, consistent with this session's standing hiring-demand-vs-task-exposure distinction, as of 2026-08-19.

This is a researched judgment (checklist v1.2), not a statistical measurement — it sits alongside, not instead of, the structural exposure signal above. Next scheduled review: 2027-02-19.

Sources (3)
Last updated: August 2026Source: O*NET OnLine, 2025 wage data via BLS OEWS, SOC 13-2082.00 'Tax Preparers'

Data sources & methodology

Salary data: O*NET OnLine, 2025 wage data via BLS OEWS, SOC 13-2082.00 'Tax Preparers'. Average figure sourced separately: O*NET OnLine 2025 wage data (Annual Median Wage) for Tax Preparers (13-2082.00).

Task descriptions: Based on O*NET occupational analysis (13-2082.00).

Real-world AI usage band: Microsoft's "Working with AI" study of Bing Copilot conversations mapped to O*NET tasks (arXiv 2507.07935), and corroborating data from the Anthropic Economic Index.

Growth projections: +5-6% (2024-2034, Bright Outlook designation), a figure this site explains rather than treats as contradicting the verdict: it reflects aggregate seasonal hiring demand and this occupation's high turnover/part-time structure, not evidence that core return-preparation work resists the decade-long DIY/AI automation trend already underway (BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook), based on BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

Learn more about our methodology