At risk / Grader and Sorter, Agricultural Products
SOC 45-2041.00

Grader and Sorter, Agricultural Products

VerdictVery Safe
Signal 01 · structural exposure
10
/ 100

This occupation's raw structural score (90/100) is among the highest in this industry, reflecting a task list dominated by physical, repetitive sorting labor.

Signal 02 · real-world AI usage
Not yet available

We have not ingested real-world usage data for this occupation yet. We show a band only where genuine data exists, rather than estimate one.

What this is not
Neither reading measures whether any single grader and sorter, agricultural products has lost work to AI. That data does not exist anywhere yet — both signals describe tasks, not headcount. This page is not a prediction that this job disappears.
How we calculated this →

What a grader and sorter, agricultural products actually does

Graders and sorters of agricultural products grade and sort fruits, vegetables, nuts, and other crops by color, size, shape, appearance, feel, smell, and overall quality, discarding defective items and packaging the rest for shipment. Daily work includes weighing product, visually inspecting each item against quality standards, recording grade identification numbers, and working along packing lines at high speed to keep up with harvest volume.

The work is repetitive, visually-driven, and performed at a fast, steady pace during harvest seasons, most positions require only a high school diploma or less, and most training happens on the job. Graders and sorters work at packing houses, processing facilities, and directly on farms during harvest, and the work is often seasonal.

Why it reads this way

This occupation's raw structural score (90/100) is among the highest in this industry, reflecting a task list dominated by physical, repetitive sorting labor. But this is exactly the kind of visually-driven, rule-governed task current computer-vision AI systems are already built to perform at commercial scale, and this site's research checklist requires checking real-world deployment evidence before trusting a comfortable score rather than assuming physical work is automatically safe.

Real, current commercial AI vision and deep-learning sorting lines already grade produce by size, shape, color, and surface quality at roughly 40 times manual throughput, triggering automated divert signals in real time, technology already deployed in strawberry and apple optical sorting systems specifically.

Adoption is still limited by equipment cost and the need for crop-specific system design, a genuine, disclosed constraint rather than universal displacement, but BLS's own current outlook confirms the direction: this occupation is projected to decline (-1% or lower) through 2034, a real, current negative signal rather than the flat-to-growing trajectory most Safe-framed physical jobs on this site carry. No individual license protects this occupation.

Skills this role draws on

Visual Quality GradingProduct Weighing & MeasurementDefect IdentificationPacking Line OperationGrade Record Documentation
Pay & demand
$23,170–$37,140
10th–90th percentile, USD/year
Average: $35,730/yr
Demand
Low
Growth outlook
Declining
Projected growth
-1% or lower (2024-2034, decline, per BLS-linked Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products outlook; ~5,100 annual openings driven by turnover, not growth

Range source: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics / O*NET OnLine, 2021-2025
Average source: O*NET OnLine 2025 wage data (Annual Median Wage) for Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products (45-2041.00); min/max from BLS OEWS May 2021 10th/90th percentile, the most recent detailed percentile breakdown found

Research verdict
Assessed as of 2026-08-19
At risk

Grader and Sorter, Agricultural Products scores 90/100 on raw structural exposure, one of the highest in this industry, but this is a clear case where the research-checklist's §2a physical/autonomous-systems-deployment check overrides a comfortable numeric score rather than confirming it. Real, current commercial AI vision sorting systems already grade produce at roughly 40 times manual throughput and are deployed specifically in strawberry and apple optical sorting lines. BLS's own current outlook confirms the direction: this occupation is projected to decline (-1% or lower) through 2034, a real, current negative signal rather than the flat-to-growing trajectory most Safe-framed physical jobs on this site carry. No individual license protects this occupation. Per this site's standing discipline of following real evidence over a comfortable score, this occupation is classified At-risk.

This is a researched judgment (checklist v1.2), not a statistical measurement — it sits alongside, not instead of, the structural exposure signal above. Next scheduled review: 2027-02-19.

Sources (3)
Last updated: August 2026Source: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics / O*NET OnLine, 2021-2025

Data sources & methodology

Salary data: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics / O*NET OnLine, 2021-2025. Average figure sourced separately: O*NET OnLine 2025 wage data (Annual Median Wage) for Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products (45-2041.00); min/max from BLS OEWS May 2021 10th/90th percentile, the most recent detailed percentile breakdown found.

Task descriptions: Based on O*NET occupational analysis (45-2041.00).

Real-world AI usage band: Microsoft's "Working with AI" study of Bing Copilot conversations mapped to O*NET tasks (arXiv 2507.07935), and corroborating data from the Anthropic Economic Index.

Growth projections: -1% or lower (2024-2034, decline, per BLS-linked Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products outlook; ~5,100 annual openings driven by turnover, not growth, based on BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

Learn more about our methodology