SOC 27-2022.00

Athletic Coach

VerdictModerate Risk — exposed on paper only
Signal 01 · structural exposure
37
/ 100

Athletic coaching scores solidly Safe on task-based AI exposure, and a check for real-world automation backs that up rather than undercutting it.

Signal 02 · real-world AI usage
Medium
band, not a number

In real usage data, AI shows up in this job about as often as the average occupation: not high, not negligible.

Technical detail

Based on Microsoft's "Working with AI" study of real Copilot conversations mapped to O*NET tasks (arXiv 2507.07935): Coaches and Scouts scored 0.169 on AI applicability, within one standard deviation of the cross-occupation mean (0.159, stdev 0.098) across all 785 SOC codes studied — banded here as Medium real-world AI usage relative to other occupations.

What this is not
Neither reading measures whether any single athletic coach has lost work to AI. That data does not exist anywhere yet — both signals describe tasks, not headcount.
How we calculated this →

What a athletic coach actually does

Athletic coaches at the youth and high school level run practice, call plays on game day, and are directly responsible for the physical safety of student-athletes during contact drills, conditioning, and competition. A typical week during season stacks two to three hours of after-school practice against one or two games, with coaches breaking down film, adjusting practice plans around individual athletes' injuries or academic eligibility, and managing a roster where playing-time decisions routinely draw parent phone calls.

Many high school head coaches are also full-time classroom teachers, coaching as a stipended extra duty rather than a standalone job, while club and travel-team coaching is closer to a standalone career. Off-season work includes strength and conditioning oversight, recruiting travel for higher-level programs, budget and fundraising management for the team, and mandatory renewal of CPR/AED, first-aid, and concussion-protocol certifications before each season.

Coaches make real-time medical judgment calls — pulling an athlete who may have a concussion, managing heat-illness risk during two-a-day practices — under state athletic-association rules that assign that call specifically to the certified adult present, not to a device or app.

Entry requirements vary widely: a volunteer youth coach may need only a background check and a short certification course, while a public high school head coach typically needs a bachelor's degree, often alongside a teaching license, plus the same state-mandated safety certifications.

Why it reads this way

Athletic coaching scores solidly Safe on task-based AI exposure, and a check for real-world automation backs that up rather than undercutting it. AI tools are being adopted for drill design and performance data — ball-machine-style training robots, NBA teams piloting 'physical AI' practice tools — but researchers and coaches consistently describe these as assistive, not replacements; one biomedical engineering researcher put it plainly: AI 'hasn't reached a level where it can replace coaches.

' No case was found of a school or club team replacing its coaching staff with AI or robotics at competitive scale. That tracks with what the job actually involves day to day: live game-management decisions, hands-on technique demonstration, and team leadership that has to happen in person.

It's also reinforced by a real legal floor — every state high school athletic association requires coaches to hold current CPR/AED, first-aid, and concussion-management certification before they're legally permitted on the sideline, a credential tied to a specific, physically present adult who carries personal liability for in-game medical calls like pulling a player with a suspected concussion.

Skills this role draws on

We don't yet have task-by-task time-share data for this occupation, so we can't show which specific tasks carry the exposure score above. This is the real skill set instead.

Sport-Specific TechniquePractice PlanningGame StrategyAthlete Safety & Injury RecognitionTeam LeadershipParent CommunicationMotivation
Pay & demand

Typical salary range (USD)

$24,910–$93,590

Average: $57,450/yr

Demand
Medium
Growth outlook
Strong
Projected growth
6% (2024-2034)

Range source: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook, May 2024 (Median Annual Wage)
Average source: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2022 (Annual Mean Wage, SOC 27-2022)

Training
3 months-4 years
State Coaching Certification (CPR/AED, First Aid)Concussion Management / Safety Protocol TrainingBachelor's Degree (common for head coaches, often paired with a teaching license)NFHS Fundamentals of Coaching Course
Research verdict
Assessed as of 2026-08-10
Safe

As of 2026-08-10, Athletic Coach (structuralScore 63, Safe band) passes the mandatory §2a materiality check: a search for commercial robotic/autonomous coaching found only assistive tools (ball-machine-style training robots, team 'physical AI' practice pilots) explicitly described by researchers and coaches as supporting, not replacing, human coaching — no case of a school or club team replacing its coaching staff with AI or robotics at competitive scale. Categories 2/3 aren't required for a Safe verdict but reinforce it: every state high school athletic association requires coaches to hold current CPR/AED and concussion-management certification, a credential tied to the specific physically present adult who carries personal liability for in-game medical judgment calls.

Last updated: December 2025Source: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook, May 2024 (Median Annual Wage)

Data sources & methodology

Salary data: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook, May 2024 (Median Annual Wage). Min/max figures represent the 10th–90th percentile annual wage range across the United States. Average figure sourced separately: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2022 (Annual Mean Wage, SOC 27-2022).

Automation Risk Score: Based on O*NET occupational analysis (27-2022.00) evaluating task complexity, physical requirements, social intelligence, and environmental variability. Methodology based on research from Frey & Osborne (Oxford, 2017).

Growth projections: 6% (2024-2034), based on BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

Learn more about our methodology