SOC 33-9032.00

Security Guard

VerdictModerate Risk
Signal 01 · structural exposure
37
/ 100

Security work stays physically necessary even as real, current AI tools reshape parts of the job: AI video analytics that scan camera feeds for threats in real time, autonomous patrol robots, and even drone-as-first-responder programs are all in active commercial deployment in 2026, a genuine, disclosed automation trend worth naming directly rather than minimizing.

Signal 02 · real-world AI usage
Not yet available

We have not ingested real-world usage data for this occupation yet. We show a band only where genuine data exists, rather than estimate one.

What this is not
Neither reading measures whether any single security guard has lost work to AI. That data does not exist anywhere yet — both signals describe tasks, not headcount.
How we calculated this →

What a security guard actually does

Security guards patrol and monitor premises to prevent theft, violence, and rule violations, checking that entrances are secure, responding to alarms and emergencies, monitoring visitor access, and writing incident reports. Daily work includes walking patrol routes on foot or by vehicle, operating detection and surveillance equipment, verifying identification at controlled-access points, and de-escalating conflicts before they require police involvement.

The role requires real, physical presence: a guard has to actually be there to respond when an alarm sounds, a fight breaks out, or someone tries to force an entrance, and every state regulates the role through its own guard-card, registration, or licensing system, though these requirements vary considerably and don't transfer across state lines.

Security guards work for contract security firms, in-house corporate security departments, and government facilities, and job titles include Security Officer, Loss Prevention Officer, and Unarmed/Armed Security Guard depending on state licensing tier.

Why it reads this way

Security work stays physically necessary even as real, current AI tools reshape parts of the job: AI video analytics that scan camera feeds for threats in real time, autonomous patrol robots, and even drone-as-first-responder programs are all in active commercial deployment in 2026, a genuine, disclosed automation trend worth naming directly rather than minimizing.

But industry sources describe this technology as augmenting guard work, cutting the tedious 'watching empty screens' portion of the job, rather than eliminating headcount, and BLS's own outlook backs that up: employment is projected essentially flat (0% net change) through 2034, not a decline, with a real, substantial 162,300 annual openings driven almost entirely by turnover in an industry known for high (77-300%) turnover rates rather than automation-driven attrition.

Every state regulates this role through its own guard-card or licensing system, a real, individually-held credential, even though the specific requirements vary by state and don't transfer. The core of the job, being physically present to respond when something actually happens, remains something a camera feed alone doesn't do.

Skills this role draws on

We don't yet have task-by-task time-share data for this occupation, so we can't show which specific tasks carry the exposure score above. This is the real skill set instead.

Premises Patrol & MonitoringAccess Control & ID VerificationIncident Response & De-escalationSurveillance Equipment OperationIncident Report Writing
Pay & demand

Typical salary range (USD)

$30,210–$58,840

Average: $38,020/yr

Demand
High
Growth outlook
Stable
Projected growth
0% net change (2024-2034, flat, per BLS Security Guards and Gambling Surveillance Officers outlook; 162,300 annual openings driven by high industry turnover)

Range source: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics / O*NET OnLine, 2025
Average source: O*NET OnLine 2025 wage data (Annual Median Wage) for Security Guards (33-9032.00); min/max from BLS OEWS 2025 10th/90th percentile

Training
Days to several weeks (state guard-card/registration training; armed roles require additional firearms and psychological screening)
State Guard Card / Security Officer RegistrationFirearms Certification (armed roles)On-the-Job Training
Research verdict
Assessed as of 2026-08-19
Safe

Security Guard scores 63/100, and this site's §2a physical/autonomous-systems-deployment check was applied carefully given real, current AI video analytics, autonomous patrol robots, and drone-as-first-responder programs already in commercial deployment in 2026. The verdict holds because industry sources consistently describe this technology as augmenting rather than eliminating guard work, and BLS's own outlook confirms it, employment is projected flat (0% net change) rather than declining, with 162,300 annual openings driven by high industry turnover rather than automation-driven attrition. Every state regulates the role through its own guard-card system, a real, individually-held credential. The core requirement of physical presence to respond when something actually happens remains unautomated.

This is a researched judgment (checklist v1.2), not a statistical measurement — it sits alongside, not instead of, the structural exposure signal above. Next scheduled review: 2027-02-19.

Sources (3)
Last updated: December 2025Source: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics / O*NET OnLine, 2025

Data sources & methodology

Salary data: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics / O*NET OnLine, 2025. Min/max figures represent the 10th–90th percentile annual wage range across the United States. Average figure sourced separately: O*NET OnLine 2025 wage data (Annual Median Wage) for Security Guards (33-9032.00); min/max from BLS OEWS 2025 10th/90th percentile.

Automation Risk Score: Based on O*NET occupational analysis (33-9032.00) evaluating task complexity, physical requirements, social intelligence, and environmental variability. Methodology based on research from Frey & Osborne (Oxford, 2017).

Growth projections: 0% net change (2024-2034, flat, per BLS Security Guards and Gambling Surveillance Officers outlook; 162,300 annual openings driven by high industry turnover), based on BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

Learn more about our methodology